Loss of taste and smell are probably the most reliable COVID-19 markers for digital analysis

Caused by the acute acute coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) respiratory syndrome, as has the 2019 coronavirus pandemic (COVID19) progression, diagnostic testing capacity has expanded and guidelines have also changed from test for fever and respiratory symptoms to test for range. range of signals. A number of partner digital research platforms have also been developed worldwide to augment the information gained from laboratories and some clinical studies. These platforms offered a real-time understanding of the community epidemiology of COVID-19. In both clinical and syndromic study analyzes, loss of taste or aoisusia and loss of smell or anosmia have been identified as symptoms that can strongly predict COVID-19 disease. These tokens were used to tweak test policy changes.

Study: Anosmia and other positive symptoms associated with the SARS-CoV-2 test, across three digital, national surveillance platforms such as pandemic and COVID-19 response: an observational study.  Image credit: Nenad Cavoski / Shutterstock

Determining consistent associations between COVID-19 signals and SARS-CoV-2 test status

A team of researchers from various institutions in London, Israel, and the USA recently tested consistent links between COVID-19 markers and SARS-CoV-2 test status in 3 national monitoring platforms. They sought to identify symptoms that were consistently associated with SARS-CoV-2 and non-positive testing over time and across 3 study platforms in the US, UK and Israel. They also wanted to see if inconsistencies would provide a better understanding and information for future studies as the pandemic progresses. Their review was published on the preprint server, medRxiv*.

The cross-platform and long-range platforms used in this study are web-based and smartphone-based. The study lasted 4 months, beginning on 1 April 2020 and ending on 31 July 2020. It covered the variable frequency COVID-19 at the end of the first wave and, in some places, the beginning of the second wave, at aimed at communities in Israel, the UK, and the US.

In addition, the study period exceeds the period of extended test access and test search. These analyzes monitored and clarified the importance of each symptom in predicting SARS-CoV-2 test favors under a wide range of conditions. Logistic regression of self-reported markers on SARS-CoV-2 test status was adjusted for gender and age in each study cohort. Options ratios over time were compared to testing policy changes and variables in COVID-19 frequency.

Anosmia / ageusia was consistently the strongest predictor of COVID-19 infection across all platforms

Despite differences in study method, disease frequency, and test availability, sense of smell (anosmia) or loss of taste (ageusia) were consistently found to be the strongest predictor of COVID-19 infection across all highs. platform over time, based on 658,325 tests (5% positive) from more than 10 million respondents in 3 digital survey platforms.

Overall, anosmia / ageusia order of magnitude was more common among those reporting positive (US 43%, UK 44%, Israel 13.9%) compared to negative (US 5%, UK 3%, Israel 0.17% ). ”

As access to trials improved, the appropriateness of COVID symptoms, and the consistency of their predictability, became clear.

“Anosmia / ageusia, at all times, across all platforms, was the hallmark with the highest NO level for SARS-CoV-2 test self-report.”

However, confidence intervals increased with a decrease in the frequency of COVID-19. Therefore, to achieve robust COVID-19 symptom-based prediction, models need to consider monitoring data during higher frequency intervals with better test accessibility, and reproducible effect estimates across different scenarios and platforms. epidemiologic.

These findings demonstrate the power of citizen science in the COVID-19 response. ”

The findings show the prevalence of anosmia and ageusia as predictive markers
of COVID-19

The findings of the study confirm the validity of anosmia and ageusia as a reliable indicator of COVID-19, regardless of the study platform used or the test policy. This analysis shows that accurate impact estimates and an understanding of test patterns to explain differences are only possible at high frequency intervals. The results of the study strongly support the need to keep test access open for both public health facilities and real-time epidemiologic studies.

Future directions that build on these conclusions include the introduction of cross-platform, spatio-temporal and multivariate impact estimates in the development of pre- global narrative. ”

* Important message

medRxiv publishes preliminary scientific reports that are not peer-reviewed and, therefore, should not be seen as final, guiding health-related clinical / behavioral practice, or treatment as established information.

.Source