Nine days before the closing of the party lists ahead of the elections to the 24th Knesset, a poll by News 12 published today (Tuesday) presents the emerging political map. According to the survey, the Likud is weakening and Atid is establishing itself as the party that is expected to be the second largest. As usual, a large number of parties fail to pass the blocking percentage.
According to the full picture of the seats, the Likud changes its prefix and wins only 29 seats. Yesh Atid wins 16, New Hope is led by Gideon Saar with 15, right with 14 and the joint list wins only 10 seats. Against the background of the violent ultra-Orthodox protests in recent days, Shas and Torah Judaism have each won eight seats, thus increasing their joint power by one seat compared to the 23rd Knesset.
Merav Michaeli with demonstrators for unification in the center-left ahead of the election (Photo: The Black Flags)
The interesting figure from the survey is the entry of the Labor Party led by MK Merav Michaeli into the Knesset with four seats. In addition, Yisrael Beiteinu wins seven seats, Meretz with five and Blue and White keeps its head above water with four seats as well. The bloc stands at 61 seats per bloc. “Only not Bibi,” compared to 45 seats for a bloc that supports the prime minister.
The Economic Party led by Prof. Yaron Zelicha (2.8%), the Israelis led by Ron Huldai (2.7%), Religious Zionism led by Bezalel Smutrich (2.2%), Jewish Power led by Itamar Ben Gvir (2.1%), Aleh Yarok (0.6%), Veterans of Israel (0.5%), Tnufa led by Ofer Shelach (0.4%), The Jewish Home (0.3%), Talam led by MK Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon (0.3%) and Gesher led by Minister Orly Levy Aboksis (0%) No Pass the blocking percentage, and will not be part of the 24th Knesset according to the survey.
The poll also raises questions that Lapid’s (there is a future) connection with Huldai (Israelis) brings them to only 18 seats. In contrast, Huldai’s connection with the Labor Party, led by Merav Michaeli, puts them on seven seats. In this situation, there will be a future for only 14 seats, and Meretz will receive four seats.
In addition, the unification of Smutrich (Religious Zionism) with Ben Gvir (Jewish Power) and Hagit Moshe (National Union) will yield five seats – which will put the bloc of support for Netanyahu, along with the right-wing party, at 60 seats. In this type of union, the Likud will win only 27 seats, along with the right, which will drop to 12 seats.