Dramatic fluctuations are expected in the political system following the surprising transition made by former Minister Zeev Elkin from the Likud mother party to Gideon Saar’s new list, according to a poll conducted yesterday for Maariv Weekend.
Gideon Saar and Yifat Shasha Bitton in a joint message after the announcement of joining
According to the poll conducted by Menachem Lazar, director of Panels Politics, if the 24th Knesset elections had been held today, the Likud would have fallen by 3 seats compared to the previous poll, while “New Hope – Unity for Israel” led by Gideon Saar would have strengthened 2 seats.
The Likud receives 26 seats in the current poll, compared with 29 in the previous poll. Saar’s party, after Elkin’s surprise acquisition, receives 21 seats in the current poll, compared to 19 last week, and is establishing itself as the second largest party and closing the gap from the Likud.
Yat Lapid, led by Yair Lapid, rose from 13 seats last week to 15 in the current poll.
And from here we will get straight to the new list that was established yesterday by MK Ofer Shelach, after Mish Atid retired. The opening figure he presents is very disappointing – only 0.8%, far below the blocking percentage. – 24.
Ofer Shelach and Roi Cohen (Photo: Avshalom Shashoni)The situation of Bnei Gantz, who has not yet officially announced whether he will run again with a blue and white head, is not alarming, to say the least. In the current poll, blue and white crashes to only 4 seats, on the verge of the blocking percentage, a decrease of 3 seats compared to last week.
The other parties: the joint list – 11, Shas – 8, Torah Judaism – 7, Meretz – 7, Yisrael Beiteinu 7.
Below the blocking percentage: Labor – 1.4%, Jewish Power 1.0%, Ofer Shelach – 0.8%, The Jewish Home – 0.3% and Gesher headed by Orly Levy – 0%.
If we count together the votes of the lists that oppose Netanyahu, the “Only Not Bibi” bloc, which includes Saar’s party, Yesh Atid, Yisrael Beiteinu, Blue and White and Meretz, won 54 seats. The joint list, which also, at least in part, opposes Netanyahu, may, in certain circumstances, strengthen the bloc that says “no to Netanyahu.” All these without the right.
The survey examined the possibility of a deal according to which Netanyahu will retire from political life in exchange for the cancellation of his trial or the receipt of a pardon. It turns out that a majority of the public, 44%, oppose such an initiative, compared to 31% who support it. The rate of opposition among Likud voters reaches 47%, higher than among Saar voters – 43%, and right-wing voters – 11%.
In the poll, Netanyahu leads by a significant margin over his opponents in terms of eligibility for prime minister with 33%, followed by Gideon Saar – 17%, Bennett – 10%, Lapid – 9% and Gantz – 4%.
The survey was attended by 530 members of the Panel4All Respondents Panel to conduct online research. The survey was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The maximum sampling error in the survey is 4.3%.