A blue-and-white party led by Bnei Gantz is crashing. In recent days, senior officials have been abandoning it one by one (see separate article on this page), and the poll published here is a difficult line for those who still remain in it: for the first time since the election, the party that won 33 seats does not pass the blocking percentage.
Ganz attacked Netanyahu: “After the election, he will no longer be prime minister”
According to a poll by Menachem Lazar and Panels Politics for “Maariv-Sufa Shavua”, if the election had taken place today, Blue and white would have received only 2.6%, Like the new economic party led by Prof. Yaron Zelicha, who this week announced his entry into the race. “Ganz has long since lost his seats,” says poll editor Menachem Lazar. “In the current poll, he loses one seat to Ron Huldai’s Israelis party, but the last blow of grace or nail in the coffin of blue and white was Zelicha’s appearance. It’s similar to what happened to Bennett and Feiglin in 2019.
Both Labor (1.1%) and the list headed by Ofer Shelach (0.4%) do not pass the blocking percentage, and there is no doubt that prior to the submission of the lists to the Central Election Commission, the center-left parties will be forced to form connections between them.
The survey shows that The Likud, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, leads with 29 seats. New Hope – Unity for Israel, led by Gideon Saar, strengthened by Yifat Shasha Bitton, stands behind her with 17 seats. Yesh Atid-Telem, led by Yair Lapid, is moving away from the alternative dream with only 14 seats. The right-wing party led by Naftali Bennett, who has declared himself a candidate for prime minister, also falls and receives 13 seats.
Other parties: The joint list pays the price of internal conflicts and drops to 11 seats. The Israelis, led by Ron Huldai and Avi Nissenkorn, who was injured only this week in the skies of politics, receive 8 seats. Probably hoped for more there. Shas also receives 8 seats, Yisrael Beiteinu 7, and Meretz only 5, which should turn on warning lights.
The list of parties that do not reach the blocking percentage is long: blue and white, the new economic, Jewish power, Labor, Ofer Shelach list, a bridge led by Orly Levy-Abaxis, which will probably be armored in the Likud, and the Jewish House. In terms of blocs, the following picture emerges: the Rak-La-Bibi camp, which includes the joint list – 62, the Likud and the ultra-Orthodox – 45, the right – 13. The rate of undecided is high – 19%.
Another survey examined the possibility of Tzipi Livni joining Yesh Atid. In such a case, Lapid’s party is strengthened by two seats at the expense of the Israelis, Zelicha’s party and Labor. In this scenario, Saar’s party loses a seat. The polls were attended by 531 members of Panel4All’s respondents’ panel for online research (a survey request was sent to 3,107 panelists). The surveys were conducted on a representative sample of the adult population aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The surveys were conducted on December 31, 2020. Maximum sampling error – 4.3%.