Israel may be left alone in the nuclear struggle

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Iran’s calculated move, designed to urge the Biden administration to urgently return to the 2015 nuclear deal, was crowned a great success this week thanks to three pressure cards it put on the table: a threat to further uranium enrichment at a high rate; Operating new and fast hubs at the Natanz facility; And restricting the supervision of the Atomic Energy Agency.
Evidence of the success of this move can be found, among other things, in media interviews given by US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken. Instead of warning Iran that it would not open any negotiations with it for a return to the nuclear deal if it did not stop these serious violations immediately and unconditionally, it chose to echo the intimidation: at this rate, he said, Iran could break into the bomb within weeks. In other words: we must hurry.

Blinken: “Iran’s time for nuclear weapons to shrink to three to four months” // Photo: Reuters

What is frustrating about this story is that alongside the breaches of the agreement by Iran, which indeed bring it closer to acquiring nuclear weapons even if over longer periods of a few weeks, the Iranians are also not currently showing any willingness to move to signing a longer, improved and more breachful nuclear deal.

They insist on a return to the old agreement and are unwilling to open its clauses, and also oppose any negotiations on the ballistic missile or around their regional subversion. And if that’s not enough, they demand that the United States take the first step towards returning to the negotiating table: lifting the harsh sanctions imposed on them by trumpets, since retiring from the nuclear deal in 2018. If they ask nicely, they may agree to reciprocity. , That both parties will do at the same time.

Is Israel alone in the struggle against Iran? // Photo: E. times. Islands

There is no need to be jealous of the new administration when it comes to addressing the Iranian nuclear issue. Reciprocity in the eyes of the Iranians means that they can stop the violations in a second, but the Biden administration will have to, for example, remove from the Revolutionary Guards the label of a terrorist supporter organization, lift the sanctions it has imposed on the Iranian central bank and oil exports and companies seeking to trade with Iran. exactly? Back to the old agreement?

The Biden administration has publicly pledged to consult with the US Congress and Friends in the Middle East before making a significant move against Iran. In Congress, even among Democrats, many oppose a return to the old agreement with Iran and believe it is a wrong move that would only jeopardize US and allies’ interests.

But as far as US friendship in the Middle East is concerned, the Biden administration may find the task impossible. The reason: On the anti-Iranian front, which the Trump administration has worked so hard to formulate in recent months, first cracks are emerging.

The nuclear facility in Qom // Photo: AFP

Thus, for example, the reconciliation he achieved between Qatar and its neighbors, designed to loosen Doha’s ties with Iran (which deepened in the three-and-a-half-year boycott of Qatar by the Sunni states and Saudi Arabia in particular), did not create a rift between the two, but rather: Qataris now offer their good services To mediate between Washington and Tehran.

And the Abrahamic agreements, which were intended to establish a strong anti-Iranian alliance between Israel and the Gulf states through normalization, are not certain that they have achieved their goal. The reason: Israel sees Iran’s nuclear process as an existential threat that cannot be reconciled under any circumstances, while Saudi Arabia, for example, is currently busy trying to improve its image vis-à-vis the Biden administration and seek a way out of the endless war in Yemen, in its backyard. A war that has severely depleted reserves in the Saudi treasury.

The result may be that Israel will find it difficult to confront the Biden administration on the issue of returning to the nuclear deal as a power of attorney from the Sunni Gulf states, and will, perhaps alone, try to convince the new administration that uranium enrichment is 20 percent. Nuclear weapons – are more indicative of the fact that the Iranians are speeding to obtain the bomb and not isotopes for medicine.

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