Iran is smelling weakness from the new administration in Washington, sending a threatening message to Baiden

In the last day, the drumming of the battle in the southern and northern arenas has been hitting again, as in any period before the Israeli elections, certainly in the last two years. Every election campaign in recent years has been accompanied by “background noises” of this kind, and the reason is clear – there are those who take advantage of the instability in Israel in order to whip up war, and create levers for its interests.

Following reports of airstrikes last night in Syrian territory, this morning we also reported an exchange of fire on the Gaza Strip border, which has been fairly quiet in recent months. Is it a coincidence that both in the north and in the south the arenas are heating up? Some will say that it is a coincidence that these arenas are buzzing and stirring day and night. But in practice this is not a coincidence – someone is trying to warm up the sector, against the background of the Israeli government’s preoccupation with the election campaign and dealing with the corona.

In recent weeks, we have also been informed of threats by Iranian elements against American vessels in the Persian Gulf. The American aircraft carrier “Nimitz” has entered the bay, backed away, and according to the latest reports, is once again returning for a cruise in front of the Bander Abbas port. Added to this are Iranian reports of continued uranium enrichment to the 20% level, which is a blatant violation of the nuclear agreements. All of these issues are interrelated in a Gordian knot.

The premise of the last two decades is that the Iranians are undermining stability in the Middle East according to their interests. During this period, they make good use of the governmental instability in the United States, and as mentioned, also in Israel, and work to carry out terrorist attacks on the northern and southern borders. The interest is clear: beyond the chronic whims of war, the Iranians are trying to produce a lever that will lead to their achievements in the diplomatic arena – especially in light of the sanctions and the American intention to return to the nuclear deal. After all, Joe Biden, the US president-elect, has already stated that he is more than interested in returning to the negotiating table with Iran, so the Iranians are trying to get to the table with more achievements, and perhaps operate more significant levers.

In any case, foreign media reports speak of great effectiveness in air strikes on Syrian airspace, attributed to the IDF by foreign sources. This campaign, which is being waged against Iran, has so far been an inspiring success. .

So far, Israel has managed to prevent border degradation. The question is will what was be what will be? Surely it can be assumed that without the backing umbrella of Donald Trump in Washington, we will soon see a different mood in our counties.

The author is a former commander of the Armored Brigade, currently a researcher of military-social relations, author of the books “Clear Direction”, and “The Man in the Tank”