A study found that the UK Covid-19 variant could dominate the US by March 2021

The mutated coronavirus variant, first discovered in the United Kingdom and found to be more contagious, is spreading rapidly throughout the United States and could become mainstream in many states as soon as possible. March, a new study suggests.

A preliminary report that has not yet been peer-reviewed, posted on MedRxiv’s server on Sunday, comes from the collaboration of more than 50 scientists from major U.S. universities and research centers and provide data to support a forecast made by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in January. that showed that the variance was gaining the upper hand in the US by the end of March.

“As a result of the sudden and rapid increase in the B117 [UK] variable across the globe, we sought to understand the frequency and growth dynamics of this change in the U.S., from early emergence to rapid spread onwards. … These findings indicate that B117 is likely to be the largest variant in many U.S. states by March 2021, leading to further attacks of Covid-19 in the country, if efforts are not made. implement emergency mitigation immediately, “the review read.

The report also suggested that the UK variant was introduced into the United States several times in November 2020.

“We found that the earliest introduction into the U.S. was … the start of a stable local distribution in California on November 27, 2020. … We found that the other U.S. cemeteries had a center [the most recent common ancestor] TMRCAs in December 2020 and January 2021, recommending that B.1.1.7 be imported into the U.S. from international locations from November, 2020 during this period, “the report read. .

UK public health officials announced in December that the new coronavirus strain is believed to be up to 70 per cent more susceptible. The new strain was first discovered in the south-east of England in September and then quickly spread throughout the United Kingdom and continental Europe.