The Likud continues its weakening trend, and at the same time has a future that continues to strengthen, according to a survey conducted yesterday, 40 days before the election. The results also show that the Likud, led by Netanyahu, cannot form a government when the opposing bloc reaches 61 seats.
The Likud’s campaign against Yair Lapid
According to the poll conducted for Maariv-Sufshavua by the Panels Politics Institute, headed by Menachem Lazar, if the election had taken place today, the Likud would have won 28 seats, less than in the previous poll. There is a future led by Yair Lapid would have jumped to 19 seats – 6 more than a new hope led by Gideon Saar, who won 13 seats. In the previous survey, there was a draw 16 between Yesh Atid and New Hope.
Lapid, it seems, is draining anti-Haredi sentiments towards him following images to which the public has been exposed of mass violations in the sector, although he himself has recently maintained restraint in his remarks on the subject.
The right, led by Naftali Bennett, who wants to be the tongue in cheek in the upcoming elections and refrains from joining the “just not Bibi” bloc, rises in the seat and receives 12 seats in the current poll.
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The joint list headed by Ayman Odeh, after parting ways with the PM, continues to lose its power and drops in the current poll to 8 seats compared to 10 in the previous poll.
Maariv survey (Photo: Maariv Online)Shas, led by Aryeh Deri, is proving to be a safe and stable stock, with 8 seats. Torah Judaism with 7 seats, like Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, which maintains impressive stability.
At the tumultuous bottom, the work led by Merav Michaeli takes a safe distance from the red line with 6 seats, while the left-wing party Meretz loses a seat, and also blue and white led by Bnei Gantz, shuffling near the blocking percentage – with 4 seats each.
The United List of Religious Zionism led by Bezalel Smutrich and Itamar Ben Gvir can draw encouragement from the fact that it also passes the blocking percentage in the current poll, with 4 seats.
Below the blocking percentage are the new economic party led by Yaron Zelicha – 1.3%, and Ra’am led by Mansour Abbas – 1.1%, whose separation from the joint did him no good and mainly the affiliation with his previous partners.
Appropriation for Prime Minister (Photo: Maariv Online)In terms of blocks: The Netanyahu bloc, which includes the Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism and the United List of Religious Zionism – 47 seats. The “Just Not Netanyahu” bloc, which includes the parties of Saar and Lapid, the joint list, Yisrael Beiteinu, Labor and Meretz – 61 seats. Right – 12 seats.
Netanyahu’s opponents can ostensibly form a government with the help of the joint, or without the joint in case Bennett decides to come down from the fence and join them. Netanyahu, at this stage, cannot form a government, not even with the help of Bennett.
On the issue of matching the prime minister vis-à-vis Netanyahu – Saar overpowers Lapid and Bennett, and almost equals his status with that of Netanyahu. Netanyahu 44%, Saar 41%; Netanyahu 55%, Lapid 37%; Netanyahu 42%, Bennett 34%.
The survey was attended by 585 members of the Panel4All Respondents Panel to conduct online research (a request to participate in the survey was sent to 3,440 members of the panel). The survey was conducted on February 11 on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. Maximum sampling error: 4.2%.