Tight in the underground battles: A poll of seats by the Panels Politics Institute, led by Menachem Lazar for Maariv, presents, just 11 days before the election – a complication at the bottom. Four parties receive 4 seats each, thus complicating the picture, as the fall of one of them could change the whole map.
According to the poll conducted yesterday, if the Knesset elections had been held now – the Likud party led by Benjamin Netanyahu would have won 27 seats, as in the previous poll, which indicates that the Likud campaign is having a hard time taking off.
There is a future led by Yair Lapid remains the second largest party with 20 seats, for the second week in a row. To the right, led by Naftali Bennett, passes Gideon Saar’s new hope, but loses a seat and receives 11 seats. Saar’s party also loses a seat and stands below it with only 10 seats.
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The joint list headed by Ayman is still bleeding since the split within it and receives 8 seats. Shas, led by Aryeh Deri, has shown stability over time with 8 seats. Lieberman, who last week already jumped to 9 seats, this time drops by one seat and receives 8, while the Torah Judaism Party remains stable with 7 seats.
The interesting battle takes place at the bottom. The impressive leap of the Labor Party led by Merav Michaeli has been halted, and it has been receiving 5 seats for the second week in a row. The little sister, the left-wing Meretz party, which came out in the “save” campaign, passes the blocking percentage with 4 seats.
Blue and white led by Bnei Gantz also stands for 4 seats, as well as religious Zionism led by Bezalel Smutrich with 4 seats, within touching distance of the blocking percentage. The surprise in the current poll is the RAAM party led by Mansour Abbas, which for the first time passes the blocking percentage and receives 4 seats.
Of the four parties that scrape the blocking percentage from above, Blue and White is in the better position and gets 3.9%. Then in descending order: Meretz – 3.6%, RAAM – 3.5%, Religious Zionism – 3.4%. The blocking percentage, it should be mentioned, is 3.25%. The economic party led by Yaron Zelicha, which insists on continuing to run, is below it with 1.1%.
Map of the blocs (Photo: Maariv Online)And this is the picture of the blocks: The Netanyahu bloc, which includes the Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism and religious Zionism – 46 seats. , RAAM – 4 seats.
Netanyahu could theoretically form a government based on 61 votes. For that, he needs Bennett, but also the support of the Prime Minister. Even a bloc, only Netanyahu can not form a government with the help of the 11 seats of the right or the four seats of the Prime Minister – a scenario that seems unlikely. Another option is a fifth election.
The poll also examined the “head to head” suitability for prime minister: Netanyahu 44%, Saar 40%. Netanyahu 49%, Lapid 40%. Netanyahu 39%, Bennett 37%.
The survey was attended by 573 members of the Panel4All Respondents Panel to conduct online research. The survey was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. Maximum sampling error in the survey – 4.2%. Percentage of those undecided in the survey – 13%.