A little over a month before the election, a poll by 103FM and the Politics Panel Research Institute published this morning presents the emerging political map. At the top things remain fairly stable, while at the bottom of the list are a number of parties fighting to cross the red line and be elected to the Knesset.
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The Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu retains its power and wins 29 seats, Yair Lapid has a future continues to lead the bloc of Netanyahu’s opponents and wins 18 seats, Gideon Saar’s new hope is also unchanged, with 14 seats, while the right-wing party led by Naftali Bennett Wins 13 seats.
The joint list recovers from recent polls and wins 9 seats, Shas with 8 while Torah Judaism and Yisrael Beiteinu win 7 seats each. Merav Michaeli’s Labor Party continues to strengthen and wins 6 seats, Smutrich and Ben Gvir’s religious Zionism wins For 5 seats, while Meretz wins 4 seats, only slightly above the blocking percentage.
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103FM survey (Photo: Flash 90, Yossi Aloni, Miriam Elster, Yonatan Zindel)Defense Minister Bnei Gantz’s blue and white does not pass the blocking percentage, thus leading to the loss of many votes for the center-left bloc. Prof. Yaron Zelicha’s economic party and Mansour Abbas’ RAAM party are also not passing the blocking percentage, and are not expected to be in the Knesset.
Another question examined in the poll dealt with the burning issue of the past week: the possibility that Itamar Ben Gvir, after joining Smutrich’s religious Zionist party, will be part of the coalition and possibly also part of the government. According to the poll, there is a majority among right-wing voters who support Ben Gvir being appointed minister in the next government. No less than 37 percent of respondents said so, compared with 31 percent who objected. When isolating Likud voters, the trend is even stronger – 38% support Ben Gvir’s yeshiva in the government and 25% oppose it. Among all respondents, the picture is the opposite: 46% of them oppose Ben Gvir’s entry into the government, with a significant gap over those who support it – only 25%.
Most right-wingers support the appointment of Itamar Ben Gvir as minister (Photo: no credit)The survey also examined respondents’ position on the participation of the joint list in the next government – and here too there was clear opposition to such a move, with 64% not interested in a government with the joint list, compared to only 21% who support it.
The 103fm survey was conducted by Menachem Lazar – Director of Panels Politics. In the survey, conducted yesterday (Sunday), 527 members participated in Panel4All’s respondent panel for conducting research on the Internet (a request to participate in the survey was sent to 2,819 members). The survey was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The maximum sampling error in this survey is 4.3 percent.