“Did anyone see Yair Lapid? He is hiding,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said last night at a Likud election conference in Petah Tikva. However, if he looks at the Panels Politics Institute’s poll for Maariv-Sufshavua, published here, he will see Lapid narrowing gaps and is already only 7 seats away from the Likud.
According to the poll, conducted yesterday, the Likud party continues to lose seats and wins 27, compared to 29 in the previous poll. Lapid, who also suffered a severe attack last night from right-wing chairman Naftali Bennett, has reached a peak since the 24th Knesset elections were announced and receives 20 seats in the current poll, a jump of 3 seats compared to the previous poll.
It is estimated that Lapid is the main beneficiary of the public mood towards the ultra-Orthodox in light of their statements regarding the conversion and calls of ultra-Orthodox public leaders not to obey the police guidelines.
The right is strengthening in the current poll and reaches 12 seats compared to 11 in the previous poll, and equates to a new hope, which continues to weaken and loses 2 seats within a week.
The one who still benefits from the mood towards the ultra-Orthodox is Yisrael Beiteinu, which receives 9 seats in the current poll, an increase of two compared to the previous poll.
Below the picture of the seats, the joint list continues to weaken and receives only 8 seats. Shas remains stable with 8 seats and so does Torah Judaism with 7.
In the underground battles the work is left with 5 seats. In contrast, three parties scrape the blocking percentage with only 4 seats: religious Zionism, blue and white and Meretz. Any downward movement of one of them will affect the image of the lumps.
Below the blocking percentage are RAAM – 2.4% but with a strengthening trend, and the new economic party led by Yaron Zelicha which continues to crash – 1.2%.
Thus, only 18 days before the election, the following picture emerges: the Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism, religious Zionism) – 46 seats. A bloc only not Netanyahu , Blue and white) – 62. Right – 12.
The “just not Netanyahu” bloc has the option of forming a government with the support of the common or the right. According to these data, Netanyahu does not have the ability to form a government.
In terms of match data for prime minister, Bennett and new Tikva chairman Gideon Saar reduce the gap with Netanyahu: Netanyahu 42%, Saar 41%; Netanyahu 48%, Lapid 41%; and Netanyahu 39%, Bennett 38%.
In a survey conducted by the Menachem Lazar Panels Institute, 571 members participated in Panel4All’s respondents’ panel for conducting research on the Internet (a request to participate in the survey was sent to 2,897 members of the panel).
The survey was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The maximum sampling error in this survey is 4.2%.