The Likud rises in the seat, but the “just not Netanyahu” bloc reaches 61 seats. This is thanks to an impressive jump of blue and white from 0 to 5 seats. This emerges from a survey by the Panels Politics Institute, led by Menachem Lazar.
According to the poll, if the election had been held today, the Likud would have risen by one seat compared to the previous poll – reaching 29 seats.
On the other hand, there is a future, a new and right hope are each coming down in the mandate, compared to the previous poll. There is a future that drops to 17 seats, but the second largest party remains. New hope drops to 14 seats, and the right drops from 12 to 11 seats.
The joint list continues, after the dissolution of the partnership with RAAM, to maintain a single-digit number of 9 seats. Shas demonstrates stability with 8 seats, as does Torah Judaism with 7 seats. On the other hand, Yisrael Beiteinu drops from 8 to 7 seats.
The shifts in the seat map are due to the impressive strengthening of blue and white – from 0 seats in the previous poll to 5 in the current one. It seems that Defense Minister Bnei Gantz has meanwhile managed to silence the voices calling on him to resign in order to prevent the loss of votes.
The same number of seats, 5, is given to the Labor Party, which seems to have lost momentum, perhaps as a result of the turmoil in the candidacy of Abtissam Maraana.
Religious Zionism drops from 5 to 4 seats, close to the blocking percentage, as does Meretz, which also loses a seat, receives 4 seats in the current poll and scratches the blocking percentage from above.
Below the blocking percentage are the RAAM party, with 2.2%, and the economic party led by Yaron Zelicha, which receives 1.6%.
The picture of the blocs looks like this: The Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism, religious Zionism) – 48 seats. 11. If these are the results of the election, Netanyahu will not be able to form a government – even if right-wing chairman Naftali Bennett decides to join him.
In the poll, respondents were asked how Bennett would act if he became the key man whose voice would decide who would form a government. The results among right-wing voters are surprising – a 41% draw between those who think he should join the coalition with Netanyahu and those who think he should join the bloc of Netanyahu’s opponents. Among all respondents, 37% responded that they would like to see Bennett join the coalition with Netanyahu, compared to 34% who would prefer to see him join the opposing bloc.
On the issue of matching “head to head” with Netanyahu to the position of prime minister: Netanyahu 45% – Gideon Saar 36%; Netanyahu 55% – Lapid 32%; Netanyahu 43% – Lapid 33%.
The survey was conducted for the Maariv newspaper by Menachem Lazar, CEO of Panels Politics. 593 members participated in the Panel4All respondents’ panel for conducting research on the Internet (a request to participate in the survey was sent to 2,940 members of the panel).
The survey was conducted yesterday on a representative sample of 593 members of Panel4all’s respondent panel among the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The maximum sampling error in this survey is 4.2%. Overall undecided rate: 16%.