Israel cannot forget a powder keg on the northern border

The most likely answer is yes, because this was unlike the lowest – tech drone that crashed on the Lebanese border on Monday and said Hezbollah brought it down.

Last Wednesday, the Israeli Air Force would have hit the battery against responsible aircraft or similar Hezbollah targets, and the northern border could have exploded into heavy fire.

Worse still, Hezbollah knew that if he succeeded in knocking down the drone, Jerusalem would certainly respond, and he intended to remind Israel that the “silent frontier” in the north was the most important thing. explosive and easiest to ignite.

Qatar has brought industrial peace to Israel on the Gaza Strip. The country has increased the support it has pledged to the Hamas government from $ 240 million in 2020 to $ 360 million in 2021.

So there is a kind of control of the southern border. But near-Lebanon is a reminder that Israel sits on a mountain of explosives to the north.

It is fair to assume that neither Israel nor Hezbollah has a real interest in lighting the border.

Both sides seem to be opposing each other: Hezbollah will work against Israel in a restrictive and measured way and Israel will make a great effort not to do harm. on Hezbollah members and does not openly attack the group’s military capabilities in Lebanon.

But this will only work until someone decides to cross the line.

The Israeli Air Force crossed Lebanon in preparation for a violent, unexpected explosion from a country that does not have a moderately effective government.

This calls for Israel to have maximum information control, including a presence in the air. But Hezbollah sees itself as a defender of Lebanon, so Israeli transgressions run counter to national sovereignty.

The situation could explode as soon as one of the parties decides he is no longer playing the game. And it almost happened last week.

In the last 24 hours before the missile fire on an IDF drone, Lebanese media reported an unusually large number of Israeli fighter jets and UAVs.

The flights were reported in the southern outskirts of the capital controlled by Hezbollah and over Ras al-Ain and Tire, near the Israeli border.

It is possible that these flights were in response to Hezbollah ‘s unusual activity – but despite all this, the missiles were launched.

A bullet was also fired at an IDF drone in November last year, but this time Israel confirmed Lebanese reports of the shooting, as it happened in broad daylight and was recorded.

And so on a clear, unannounced day and on the eve of an election and all that that entails, it might be easy for Israel to find – just as it did in 2006 – in armed conflict in the north.