Survey of seats: What does the political map look like after the lists are closed?

A poll of seats conducted yesterday (Thursday), during the last day for submitting the lists of candidates in the 24th Knesset elections, for “Maariv-Sufshavua”, indicates the strengthening of the “just not Netanyahu” bloc, crossing the 61st checkpoint, a certain weakening of the Likud’s power and trend Recovery of the Labor Party.

According to the poll conducted by Panels Politics, led by Menachem Lazar, if the election had taken place today, the Likud party led by Benjamin Netanyahu would have won 29 seats, a decrease of one seat compared to the previous poll. There is a future led by Yair Lapid and a new-unity hope for Israel led by Gideon Saar, two who claim to replace Netanyahu, are equal in the current poll and receive 16 seats each, after in the previous poll Lapid actually opened a gap over Saar by 4 seats. The right, led by Naftali Bennett, receives 11 seats, a decrease of one seat compared to the previous poll.

The joint list led by Ayman Odeh, which split yesterday and includes Hadash, Ta’al and Balad, receives 10 seats in the current poll, but is swinging towards the 9th, while Sharam led by Mansour Abbas, who decided to run alone, does not pass the percentage The block and receives only 0.9%. The other parties: Yisrael Beiteinu 8 seats, Shas 8, Torah Judaism 7.

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The Labor Party, which has undergone major upheavals in recent weeks, continues its strengthening trend under the leadership of MK Merav Michaeli, receiving 6 seats this week, compared with 4 in the previous poll. Meretz moves away from the red line with 5 seats. Blue and white led by Bnei Gantz is below the blocking percentage, but it is estimated that it may strengthen and draw the votes of Huldai supporters, who retired from the race yesterday. Below the blocking percentage is also Yaron Zelicha’s new economic party – 1.1%. In the right wing, the connection between Bezalel Smutrich and Itamar Ben Gvir within the framework of the United List of Religious Zionism passes them the blocking percentage with 4 seats.

In terms of blocs: The bloc that supports Netanyahu – the Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism and religious Zionism – 48 seats, compared to the bloc only not Netanyahu – Saar, Yesh Atid, the joint list, Yisrael Beiteinu, Labor and Meretz with 61 seats, which prevent Netanyahu from forming a government Headed by him. Right – 12 seats.

The survey also measured “head to head” degree of suitability for prime minister: Netanyahu 47% – Saar 42%. Netanyahu 56% – Lapid 36%, Netanyahu 43% – Bennett 39%.

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