A panel poll by Politics for Maariv-Sufshavua, conducted yesterday, indicates a tie between Yesh Atid, led by Yair Lapid, and Tikva Hadash, led by Gideon Saar. Almost clung to the prime minister.
According to the poll, if the Knesset elections had taken place today, the Likud party led by Netanyahu would have won 31 seats, a decrease of one seat compared to last week’s poll. The surprise in the poll is the strengthening of Yesh Atid led by Lapid, which rose from 14 seats in the previous poll to 16 in the current poll and clings to a new hope – unity for Israel, led by Saar, which loses one seat and drops to 16 seats.
The one who continues to lose height is Naftali Bennett headed right. If last week his party received 12 seats in the poll, this time it drops to 11. The joint list headed by Ayman Odeh continues the weakening trend, falling from 11 to 10 seats, perhaps as a result of Netanyahu’s onslaught on the Arab sector.
Torah Judaism – 8 seats, Shas – 8 seats and Yisrael Beiteinu with 7 seats, remain stable unchanged. In contrast, Meretz led by Nitzan Horowitz weakens in the seat and receives only 5 in the current poll. 4 seats, as well as with the Israeli party led by Ron Huldai, which actually has a relatively slight improvement trend compared to the fact that in the previous survey it did not pass the blocking percentage.
Below the blocking percentage are nine parties: the new economic party led by Yaron Zelicha leads the disappointed bloc with 2.1%. It is followed in descending order: the Religious Zionist Party, led by Bezalel Smutrich, 2%, Jewish Power, led by Itamar Ben Gvir, 1.4%, and the Labor Party, which goes to the primaries on Sunday to win the party, only 0.7%. Below it is the Tzomet – Settlement and Agriculture Party, led by Moshe Green, the furrow of Boogie Ya’alon, the Jewish House led by Hagit Moshe, the momentum of Ofer Shelach and the Veterans Israel led by Danny Yatom.
In terms of the blocs: the Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas and Torah Judaism) – 47; the bloc “only not Bibi” (Saar, Yesh Atid, the joint, Yisrael Beiteinu, the Israelis, blue and white, Meretz) – 62; right – 11 seats.
The survey examined the possibility of Saar, Lapid and Bennett’s “head-to-head” confrontation with Netanyahu. Here he has an impressive storm of achievement: Netanyahu receives 43%, while he narrows the gap to the touchdown – and receives 40%. Bennett is also making life difficult for Netanyahu with 33%, compared to 41% for the prime minister.
In contrast, the difference between Netanyahu 54% and Lapid 32% is much wider. According to pollster Menachem Lazar, Saar manages to get closer to Netanyahu in a head-to-head contest, because in addition to the majority (60%) he achieves in the center-left camp, he also receives relatively good support from the right-wing public (28%).
The survey was attended by 522 members of the Panel4All Respondents Panel to conduct online research. Maximum sampling error – 4.4%.