Slight strengthening for Bennett and Gantz, but the political situation is still pretty much the same: Exactly one month before Election Day, an updated poll of seats we presented tonight (Tuesday) in the main edition of News 12, conducted by Mano Geva and in collaboration with iPanel, reveals that the political situation is quite static this week as well, except for slight changes. The Likud is slightly weakened, Bennett and Gantz are strengthening in the mandate, a party from the Netanyahu bloc and a party from the bloc that opposes Netanyahu are both moving around the blocking percentage. The full data
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If the election had taken place today, the Likud party led by Netanyahu would have received 28 seats – a decrease of one seat compared to the last poll we conducted last week. The second largest party is still there is a future of Yair Lapid who maintains its power with 18 seats, new hope led by Gideon Saar remains stable with 13 seats – and the right led by Naftali Bennett strengthens compared to last week, rises from 10 to 11 seats and is currently moving away from the danger of falling To a single-digit figure.
The situation of the other parties: the joint list led by Ayman Odeh with 9 seats, Shas led by Aryeh Deri with 8 seats, Torah Judaism led by Moshe Gafni with 7 seats, Yisrael Beiteinu led by Avigdor Lieberman also with 7 seats, the Labor Party led by Merav Michaeli Left with 6 seats, blue and white, against the background of the calls for Ganz to resign from the contest, strengthen by one seat and rise to 5 compared to the last poll.Two parties pass the blocking percentage, but very close not to pass: Bezalel Smutrich’s religious Zionism with 4 seats – and so Meretz, led by Nitzan Horowitz, also.
The parties that do not pass the blocking percentage according to the survey we conducted: the new economic party led by Yaron Zelicha with 2.1% support, RAAM led by Mansour Abbas with 2% support – and the Ma’an party with 0.8% support among the survey participants.
Netanyahu does not have a government with the right either, Bennett jumps in the percentage of preference for prime minister
According to the survey, the political picture is actually quite frozen – and the numbers illustrate that Netanyahu has no ability to form a government with the bloc of parties that support him – and even if he joins Bennett. The updated data show that Netanyahu has 47 seats that support him (Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism and religious Zionism) and if you combine the right with its 11 seats – this bloc has only 58 seats.
The bloc of Netanyahu’s opponents, however, has the option of forming a government – if Bennett joins him. This bloc of parties has 62 seats (there is a future, new hope, the joint list, Yisrael Beiteinu, Labor, Blue and White and Meretz) – but if you remove the joint list from the count and add to the right, the bloc has 64 seats that will allow a government, but one that will include You are Meretz.
When asked who you would prefer to be prime minister, 31% of respondents who would like it to be Netanyahu, 20% prefer Yair Lapid in office and 15% Gideon Saar – a 2% increase over the previous survey. Naftali Bennett receives 13% support according to the survey – and this is already a 5% jump in his percentage of preference for the position in just one week. 15% answered that they do not prefer any candidate and 6% do not know.
News 12 recent polls:
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Invitation to the survey: The news company
Survey Editor: A consultation and research sample led by Mano Geva
Date of data collection: 23/02/2021
The study population: A representative sample of the entire population in Israel aged 18 and over
Actual number of respondents: 506
Number of participants: 3,526
Maximum sampling error: 4.4%+
Statistical method: The survey was conducted using accepted statistical methods
Sampling method: Sampling layers and within the layers random sampling
How to conduct the survey: Internet + telephone