How the U.S. tension with Russia and China could affect Israel

The U.S. is in the midst of growing tensions with both Russia and China, two countries that the U.S. national defense strategy sees as “near-peers” rivals in the United States. -world. In a sense, the U.S. has created a self-fulfilling prophecy in this regard, implementing a national strategy that sees these countries as a global problem, and then ending up in a dilemma. leo.
Recently released documents revealed that U.S. concerns date back to 2018, when the Pentagon said “China is a strategic competitor using a predatory economy to intimidate its neighbors while they militarize features in the South China Sea. Russia has gone against the borders of neighboring countries and is seeking visa power over the economic, diplomatic and security decisions of its neighbors. ” This threatens the order of the world, the US says.
Now, the new U.S. administration is doing well on promises to be hard on Moscow and Beijing. US President Joe Biden opposed Russian President last week. The Russian embassy in Washington then mocked the U.S. by noting that they are receiving letters expressing support for U.S.-Russia relations where America has taken a apologizes for “Washington’s unfair moves toward Moscow. Biden’s attack on Russia’s Vladimir Putin by calling him a “killer” is not the only issue facing DC. The U.S. also went to a high-level meeting with China in Alaska. US-Russia, meanwhile, is at its most difficult level since the collapse of the Soviet Union, CNN notes.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke of “deep concern” he raised about China’s behavior during a trip around Asia and criticized China for violating rules that keep it at bay “a more violent world,” according to CNN. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan also accused China. Chinese diplomat Yang Jiechi asked “is that the way you hoped to make this communication?” Well, I think we thought the US too well. “While in the U.S. the difficult position is gaining ground, these spats may have an impact on world order.
China, Russia, Iran and Turkey are working together swiftly to try to weaken the U.S. wherever the US is affected. They work in different ways. China is building a large fleet that will challenge the US in the Minch. It is also building links with traditional US partners in the Middle East. The US is concerned about China’s investments across the region and in Africa and South America and Europe. Countries like Germany seem to be moving close to the China-Russia orbit and are tired of US talks about things like Nord Stream. All China and Russia in these areas have to do is remove some treaties, not replace the US. Port here and pipeline there as Russia and China slowly push the US back. They know that the U.S. has major infrastructural problems at home and that the disruptive effects of the pandemic are causing chaos in the West.

Iran and Turkey are riding this global upheaval with US hegemony. They also want to invade states in the Middle East and infiltrate U.S. allies, allies and influence. Both are also active in Africa. They want more rail and motorway links with Russia and China.

The bigger picture is that these tensions are affecting Israel. During the Cold War, the Middle East was divided between states outside the U.S. and Soviet-armed states. The Soviets once armed Syria, Iraq and Egypt. However, the US had closer ties with Iran Shah until 1979 and Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Turkey was a true friend of NATO in those days. However, things changed with the Islamic Revolution in Iran, the rise of fundamental terrorism, the move of Turkey to Russia and the change of fortunes in the region. While Egypt chose to be part of the U.S. orbit in the region and the U.S. invaded Iraq, the overall picture of U.S. influence is shrinking. The US is tired of “endless wars” and Iran, Turkey and China look set to take advantage of the US leaving Afghanistan.
The end of the Cold War brought U.S. hegemony to the Middle East, as a symbol of the massive coalition against Saddam in 1991 and the swift way in which the U.S. prosecution of the war destroyed the Soviet-teaching army. Saddam. But ת that brief success in the U.S. was quickly eroded by terrorism. Now the US has lost out in some areas. Iran has captured Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq and Syria. U.S. alliances in the Gulf are seeking a lower profile. Israel is working with Greece and the Gulf. The former U.S. administration ended Obama’s attempt to keep Israel from the Gulf using John Kerry, and gave power to Iran. Israel has more support from Washington today. However, that support comes at a difficult time due to Iran’s rise in the region and the new Turkey-Iran-Russia partnership. Israel has friendly relations with Russia and China, unlike the US. But U.S. pressure on Israel is trying to reduce Israel’s ties with China.
Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz raised eyes for criticizing Biden’s views on Putin. That’s because some expect Israel to do what Washington wants in relation to Russia and China. But Israel’s choices are more complex. Despite Iran’s threat, Russia and China are important. They are also important economically and also because of Russia’s role in Syria. While Turkey and Israel are technically allied, Turkey has tried to block Israel’s friendship with the Gulf and Kosovo. This means that Israel is rapidly increasing ties with Greece and the Gulf and also countries like India. But Israel wants a positive relationship with Moscow and Beijing, not hostile relations. Israel also wants to ensure that its strategic and defense partnership with the U.S., which increasingly means defensive ties on several levels, remains intact as Washington enhances its astronomy with China. .
U.S. statements, particularly among pro-Israel voices linked to the U.S. national security center, have warned of Israeli-China ties for years. Much of this adds to the reality, portraying Israel as running into China’s arms. But the whole message is clear, they want Israel to make that clearer to China. Israel is carefully relying on these demands. Like Russia, Israel walks cautiously. Israel has been in these complex situations before, such as when Russia fought Georgia in 2008 and Israel had a good relationship with Georgia. Moreover, Ukraine has sought better ties with Jerusalem, and Russia and Ukraine are locked in a dispute over Crimea and the Donbas. Israel does not want to take sides in any of this. But since 2015 when Moscow increased its role in Syria, Israel has been working with Russia to consider Syria.

The larger context of the current U.S. anger with Russia and China may end with Russia, China, Iran and Turkey all calling the U.S. bluff, in a sense confirming the a role in a new multi-pole world. This has already happened quietly.

In 2019 there was the Shanghai Cooperation Group conference in Bishkek and then the next day the conference on Building Measures of Interaction and Confidence in Asia (CICA). Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jingping met with the leaders of Central Asian states, as well as India and Pakistan, to discuss regional and global issues. They adopted the Bishkek Declaration which sought to emphasize the need to fight “three evil forces,” including separatism, terrorism, and terrorism. The nations said they were working to challenge “cross-border crime” and “build a multi-polar world order.”

That last part is what matters. They want a multi-polar world. Russia, Iran and Turkey will work together on Syria through the Astana process as part of this. In all cases the US is not invited. Israel is often not invited to these forums. In short, the multi-polar world is already here. It is only a matter of time before the rising nations try to impose a US hand on this issue. Like all changes in power there could be a peaceful movement, such as when Britain ceased to be a global empire in the 1960s, or there could be major conflict. Israel will find itself in the middle if it is not careful.